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Spatial Analysis on Regional Difference of Tourism Economy in Jiangsu Province
Li Ruyou / Huang Changzhou
Journal of Beijing International Studies Universit, 2014, 36(1): 24-.
Regional difference of tourism economy from 2000 to 2011 in Jiangsu Province is researched by spatial concentration index, Theil index, Gini index and Herfindahl index, and then Shift-Share Method is used to dissect the tourism economic growth of 13 cities in Jiangsu from 2000 to 2005 and 2005 to 2011. Based on these, the spatial pattern of regional development advantages on tourism economic in Jiangsu Province can be presented. The result shows that the regional difference of tourism economy in Jiangsu Province is extremely significant, and its trend is in line with the course of inverted U-shaped curve, which aggravates from 2000 to 2005 and reduces from 2005 to 2011. Further analysis shows that the spatial pattern of regional disparity of tourism economy in Jiangsu Province has changed greatly and goes with solid foundational advantages in southern areas, with relatively strong capacity to develop in the middle and northern areas. In addition, the regional difference of tourism economy in Jiangsu Province has positive connections with the tourism resource, economic development, industrial structure, but there is no significant correlation between tourism economy and infrastructure construction or opening up.
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Prediction of CO2 emissions from Tourism Sector based on the Integrated ESARIMA Model in Jiangxi Province
Hu Linlin / Jia Junsong
Journal of Beijing International Studies Universit, 2014, 36(1): 34-.
It is important to acquire the accurate prediction of carbon emissions from tourism sector, because it can help us identify the future direction of low-carbon development strategy for this industry. Taking Jiangxi Province as an example, using the exponential smoothing model(ES), the auto regressive integrated moving average model(ARIMA)and the combined ESARIMA model suggested in this article, we complete fit and predict the carbon emissions from the tourism sector(Lyt)based on its historical data during the 1999~2011 years. The results show that: ①the predicted results from the ESARIMA model is more reasonable and reliable, because it has the higher accuracy and its change trend is closer to the reality and people’s cognitive habit. ② the Lyt may have a transitory decrease in the 2012 in Jiangxi, because the country’s expectation of GDP growth has a corresponding decline in this year. However, this declining trend will be reversed quickly. The Lyt will grow again from 2013, and it will grow to 5.635 MT in 2018 in Jiangxi. The average annual growth rate of the seven years’ predication is up to 8.34%. Therefore, the regional related scientific research, technology promotion and application, etc. should be actively strengthened, in order to improve the energy efficiency of tourism industry and reduce its carbon emissions.
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Characteristic of Tourism Hotel Efficiency in Sanya
Yu Hu / Chen Tian / Wang Kaiyong / Zhu Dongfang
Journal of Beijing International Studies Universit, 2014, 36(1): 47-.
The tourist hotel industry is an important pillar of the tourism industry system, and the importance of tourism hotel efficiency has been observed, while little study on it has been seen domesticly. Based on the concept of tourism hotel industry efficiency and analysis of efficiency structure and the explanation variable, this article builds the conceptual framework of the study on tourism hotel industry efficiency by exploring the efficiency changes of enterprises of four ownership types (State-owned, Joint ventures, private enterprises, and foreign-invest enterprises) in Sanya. Results show that capital investment scale, technology imitation and innovation as well as competition environment are significant driving force for improving tourism hotel efficiency. Moreover, there are different competitive advantages for enterprises with different ownerships, because the diversity of policy incentives, original capital and human capital and other characteristics of enterprises lead to great disparity of enterprises’ market position, technological innovation ability and model. However, the most effective way to improve efficiency is the optimum combination of these powers. In Sanya, capital circulation and agglomeration, continuous investment, technology imitation and diffusion caused by enterprises’ agglomeration strengthen the market competition. The efficiency of state-owned and foreign enterprises is reducing while that of joint ventures and private enterprises is improving, and all kinds of efficiency index tend to be balanced. Enterprises with different ownership types have their own obstacles in improving efficiency, so the local government should make some effective policies to solve the matter.
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Grid of Tourist Scenic Spot Price——A Way to Strike the Balance for Stakeholders
Yin Min / Xia Shenglin
Journal of Beijing International Studies Universit, 2014, 36(1): 58-.
The paper takes the view that the decision on tourist scenic spot price should be adjusted with political consideration on the market equilibrium in order to meet the purpose of maximizing social benefits. When adjusting the market equilibrium price, attributes of tourscenic stakeholders such as protection to resources, equal chance to travelers, profitability to managers, public welfares to local community should be taken into consideration. Furthermore, the paper puts forward a map with the name of tourist scenic pricing grid, which is trying to explore the way to come to the interest balance of tourist resources, travelers, tourist managers, and local community.
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11 articles
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